Quantchabot has detected a promising Bear Call Spread trade opportunity for ALPHABET INC CLASS C (GOOG) for the 21-Oct-2022 expiration period. You can analyze the opportunity in depth over at the Quantcha Options Search Engine.
GOOG was recently trading at $101.62 and has an implied volatility of 35.88% for this period. Based on an analysis of the options available for GOOG expiring on 21-Oct-2022, there is a 34.20% likelihood that the underlying will close within the analyzed range of $91.78-$101.84 at expiration. In this scenario, the average linear return for the trade would be 23.33%.
52 week low: ALPHABET INC CLASS C recently reached a new 52-week low at $101.48. GOOG had traded in the range $101.86-$152.10 over the past year.
Trade approach: Reaching a new 52-week low is a bearish indicator, so this trade is designed to be profitable if GOOG maintains its current direction and does not revert back to pricing on the bullish side of $101.62 on 21-Oct-2022. If possible, the trade has been padded such that slight movement against the trade would still return a profit.
Upside potential: Using this bearish strategy, the trade would be profitable if ALPHABET INC CLASS C closes at or below $101.85 on 21-Oct-2022. Based on our risk-neutral analysis, there is a 50.03% likelihood of this return.
Downside risk: As with any options trade, there is a substantial downside risk where you may lose most or all of your investment.
To analyze this trade in depth, please visit the Quantcha Options Search Engine.