Quantchabot has detected a promising Long Risk Reversal trade opportunity for JEFFERIES FINANCIAL GROUP INC (JEF) for the 15-Sep-2023 expiration period. You can analyze the opportunity in depth over at the Quantcha Options Search Engine.
JEF was recently trading at $33.02 and has an implied volatility of 37.84% for this period. Based on an analysis of the options available for JEF expiring on 15-Sep-2023, there is a 38.14% likelihood that the underlying will close within the analyzed range of $33.02-$44.49 at expiration. In this scenario, the average linear return for the trade would be 37.99%.
Trending on StockTwits: StockTwits® is a financial communications platform for the financial and investing community. On their site, JEFFERIES FINANCIAL GROUP INC was recently trending, indicating that breaking news and/or market activity has significantly impacted sentiment toward the stock. This movement can be interpretted as a sign of more near-term price movement for the underlying.
Trade approach: The recent sentiment change in JEF on StockTwits appears to be moderately positive, indicating that the stock is likely to follow in that direction for investors trading on sentiment. As a result, a bullish strategy could prove effective if the sentiment ultimately turns out to drive trading.
Upside potential: Using this bullish strategy, the trade would be profitable if JEFFERIES FINANCIAL GROUP INC closed at or above $32.00 on 15-Sep-2023. Based on our analysis, there is a 58.56% likelihood of this return.
Downside risk: As with any options trade, there is a substantial downside risk where you may lose most or all of your investment.
To analyze this trade in depth, please visit the Quantcha Options Search Engine.
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