Quantchabot has detected a promising Bear Put Spread trade opportunity for ENERGY SELECT SECTOR SPDR (XLE) for the 19-May-2023 expiration period. You can analyze the opportunity in depth over at the Quantcha Options Search Engine.
XLE was recently trading at $78.18 and has an implied volatility of 34.47% for this period. Based on an analysis of the options available for XLE expiring on 19-May-2023, there is a 31.94% likelihood that the underlying will close within the analyzed range of $68.10-$78.19 at expiration. In this scenario, the average linear return for the trade would be 93.67%.
Trending on StockTwits: StockTwits® is a financial communications platform for the financial and investing community. On their site, ENERGY SELECT SECTOR SPDR was recently trending, indicating that breaking news and/or market activity has significantly impacted sentiment toward the stock. This movement can be interpretted as a sign of more near-term price movement for the underlying.
Trade approach: The recent sentiment change in XLE on StockTwits appears to be moderately negative, indicating that the stock is likely to follow in that direction for investors trading on sentiment. As a result, a bearish strategy could prove effective if the sentiment ultimately turns out to drive trading.
Upside potential: Using this bearish strategy, the trade would be profitable if ENERGY SELECT SECTOR SPDR closed at or below $78.55 on 19-May-2023. Based on our analysis, there is a 49.05% likelihood of this return.
Downside risk: As with any options trade, there is a substantial downside risk where you may lose most or all of your investment.
To analyze this trade in depth, please visit the Quantcha Options Search Engine.
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