Quantchabot has detected a promising Bear Put Spread trade opportunity for GREEN DOT (GDOT) for the 21-Jul-2023 expiration period. You can analyze the opportunity in depth over at the Quantcha Options Search Engine.
GDOT was recently trading at $17.24 and has an implied volatility of 46.75% for this period. Based on an analysis of the options available for GDOT expiring on 21-Jul-2023, there is a 34.16% likelihood that the underlying will close within the analyzed range of $14.12-$17.44 at expiration. In this scenario, the average linear return for the trade would be 11.11%.
Big -8.30% Change: After closing the last trading session at $18.80, GREEN DOT opened today at $17.82 and has reached a low of $16.98.
Trade approach: A movement as big as -8.30% is a significantly bearish indicator, so this trade is designed to be profitable if GDOT maintains its current direction and does not revert back to pricing on the bullish side of $17.24 on 21-Jul-2023. If possible, the trade has been padded such that slight movement against the trade would still return a profit.
Upside potential: Using this bearish strategy, the trade would be profitable if GREEN DOT closes at or below $17.75 on 21-Jul-2023. Based on our risk-neutral analysis, there is a 53.29% likelihood of this return.
Downside risk: As with any options trade, there is a substantial downside risk where you may lose most or all of your investment.
To analyze this trade in depth, please visit the Quantcha Options Search Engine.
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