Quantchabot has detected a promising Bear Call Spread trade opportunity for PHILIP MORRIS (PM) for the 15-Sep-2023 expiration period. You can analyze the opportunity in depth over at the Quantcha Options Search Engine.
PM was recently trading at $95.07 and has an implied volatility of 15.38% for this period. Based on an analysis of the options available for PM expiring on 15-Sep-2023, there is a 30.82% likelihood that the underlying will close within the analyzed range of $92.04-$95.07 at expiration. In this scenario, the average linear return for the trade would be 97.01%.
Trending on StockTwits: StockTwits® is a financial communications platform for the financial and investing community. On their site, PHILIP MORRIS was recently trending, indicating that breaking news and/or market activity has significantly impacted sentiment toward the stock. This movement can be interpretted as a sign of more near-term price movement for the underlying.
Trade approach: The recent sentiment change in PM on StockTwits appears to be moderately negative, indicating that the stock is likely to follow in that direction for investors trading on sentiment. As a result, a bearish strategy could prove effective if the sentiment ultimately turns out to drive trading.
Upside potential: Using this bearish strategy, the trade would be profitable if PHILIP MORRIS closed at or below $95.10 on 15-Sep-2023. Based on our analysis, there is a 46.96% likelihood of this return.
Downside risk: As with any options trade, there is a substantial downside risk where you may lose most or all of your investment.
To analyze this trade in depth, please visit the Quantcha Options Search Engine.