Quantchabot has detected a promising Bull Call Spread trade opportunity for LYONDELLBASELL INDUSTRIES (LYB) for the 20-Oct-2023 expiration period. You can analyze the opportunity in depth over at the Quantcha Options Search Engine.
LYB was recently trading at $100.84 and has an implied volatility of 21.45% for this period. Based on an analysis of the options available for LYB expiring on 20-Oct-2023, there is a 34.18% likelihood that the underlying will close within the analyzed range of $101.47-$108.90 at expiration. In this scenario, the average linear return for the trade would be 12.47%.
52 week high: LYONDELLBASELL INDUSTRIES recently reached a new 52-week high at $102.05. LYB had traded in the range $71.46-$101.39 over the past year.
Trade approach: Reaching a new 52-week high is a bullish indicator, so this trade is designed to be profitable if LYB maintains its current direction and does not revert back to pricing on the bearish side of $100.84 on 20-Oct-2023. If possible, the trade has been padded such that slight movement against the trade would still return a profit.
Upside potential: Using this bullish strategy, the trade would be profitable if LYONDELLBASELL INDUSTRIES closes at or above $100.25 on 20-Oct-2023. Based on our risk-neutral analysis, there is a 56.78% likelihood of this return.
Downside risk: As with any options trade, there is a substantial downside risk where you may lose most or all of your investment.
To analyze this trade in depth, please visit the Quantcha Options Search Engine.