Quantchabot has detected a promising Long Risk Reversal trade opportunity for UNITED STATES NATURAL GAS (UNG) for the 17-Jan-2025 expiration period. You can analyze the opportunity in depth over at the Quantcha Options Search Engine.
UNG was recently trading at $6.96 and has an implied volatility of 74.55% for this period. Based on an analysis of the options available for UNG expiring on 17-Jan-2025, there is a 37.59% likelihood that the underlying will close within the analyzed range of $6.96-$17.84 at expiration. In this scenario, the average linear return for the trade would be 182.45%.
Trending on StockTwits: StockTwits® is a financial communications platform for the financial and investing community. On their site, UNITED STATES NATURAL GAS was recently trending, indicating that breaking news and/or market activity has significantly impacted sentiment toward the stock. This movement can be interpretted as a sign of more near-term price movement for the underlying.
Trade approach: The recent sentiment change in UNG on StockTwits appears to be moderately positive, indicating that the stock is likely to follow in that direction for investors trading on sentiment. As a result, a bullish strategy could prove effective if the sentiment ultimately turns out to drive trading.
Upside potential: Using this bullish strategy, the trade would be profitable if UNITED STATES NATURAL GAS closed at or above $6.95 on 17-Jan-2025. Based on our analysis, there is a 53.48% likelihood of this return.
Downside risk: As with any options trade, there is a substantial downside risk where you may lose most or all of your investment.
To analyze this trade in depth, please visit the Quantcha Options Search Engine.