Quantchabot has detected a promising Bull Call Spread trade opportunity for CANADIAN NATURAL (CNQ) for the 20-Oct-2023 expiration period. You can analyze the opportunity in depth over at the Quantcha Options Search Engine.
CNQ was recently trading at $67.15 and has an implied volatility of 27.50% for this period. Based on an analysis of the options available for CNQ expiring on 20-Oct-2023, there is a 34.68% likelihood that the underlying will close within the analyzed range of $67.19-$69.08 at expiration. In this scenario, the average linear return for the trade would be 12.92%.
52 week high: CANADIAN NATURAL recently reached a new 52-week high at $67.26. CNQ had traded in the range $48.81-$67.23 over the past year.
Trade approach: Reaching a new 52-week high is a bullish indicator, so this trade is designed to be profitable if CNQ maintains its current direction and does not revert back to pricing on the bearish side of $67.15 on 20-Oct-2023. If possible, the trade has been padded such that slight movement against the trade would still return a profit.
Upside potential: Using this bullish strategy, the trade would be profitable if CANADIAN NATURAL closes at or above $66.90 on 20-Oct-2023. Based on our risk-neutral analysis, there is a 56.28% likelihood of this return.
Downside risk: As with any options trade, there is a substantial downside risk where you may lose most or all of your investment.
To analyze this trade in depth, please visit the Quantcha Options Search Engine.