Quantchabot has detected a promising Short Risk Reversal trade opportunity for PROSHARES SHORT BITCOIN STRATEGY ETF (BITI) for the 21-Jun-2024 expiration period. You can analyze the opportunity in depth over at the Quantcha Options Search Engine.
BITI was recently trading at $19.86 and has an implied volatility of 57.24% for this period. Based on an analysis of the options available for BITI expiring on 21-Jun-2024, there is a 30.84% likelihood that the underlying will close within the analyzed range of $12.87-$19.86 at expiration. In this scenario, the average linear return for the trade would be 76.10%.
Trending on StockTwits: StockTwits® is a financial communications platform for the financial and investing community. On their site, PROSHARES SHORT BITCOIN STRATEGY ETF was recently trending, indicating that breaking news and/or market activity has significantly impacted sentiment toward the stock. This movement can be interpretted as a sign of more near-term price movement for the underlying.
Trade approach: The recent sentiment change in BITI on StockTwits appears to be significantly negative, indicating that the stock is likely to follow in that direction for investors trading on sentiment. As a result, a bearish strategy could prove effective if the sentiment ultimately turns out to drive trading.
Upside potential: Using this bearish strategy, the trade would be profitable if PROSHARES SHORT BITCOIN STRATEGY ETF closed at or below $22.30 on 21-Jun-2024. Based on our analysis, there is a 56.45% likelihood of this return.
Downside risk: As with any options trade, there is a substantial downside risk where you may lose most or all of your investment.
To analyze this trade in depth, please visit the Quantcha Options Search Engine.