Synthetic Long Discount Alert: INVESCO MORTGAGE CAPITAL $IVR trading at a 11.29% discount for the 17-Jan-2025 expiration

Quantchabot has detected a promising Synthetic Long Stock trade opportunity for INVESCO MORTGAGE CAPITAL (IVR) for the 17-Jan-2025 expiration period. You can analyze the opportunity in depth over at the Quantcha Options Search Engine.

IVR was recently trading at $7.44 and has an implied volatility of 46.23% for this period. Based on an analysis of the options available for IVR expiring on 17-Jan-2025, there is a 68.28% likelihood that the underlying will close within the analyzed range of $4.76-$13.37 at expiration. In this scenario, the average linear return for the trade would be 79.47%.

Upside potential: This synthetic long position offers the same potential benefits and liabilities as a long stock position, but at a discount due to the significant premium at-the-money puts are trading at over calls. In this case, the put position is opened at a strike of $8.00, which is already $0.56 in-the-money. However, its sale more than offsets this moneyness and the cost of the long call that the trade results in a net credit of of $1.40 per share. The final position can be considered as having a discount of $0.84 per share over the underlying price of $7.44 for a 11.29% total.

Downside risk: This discount is generally a sign of the stock facing considerable short pressure, and may indicate that the stock has become hard to borrow. However, if you have a long view of the underlying over this period, it could be a good opportunity to benefit from the upside at a major discount.

To analyze this trade in depth, please visit the Quantcha Options Search Engine.