Quantchabot has detected a new Bear Call Spread trade opportunity for TEREX (TEX) for the 17-Jan-2025 expiration period. You can analyze the opportunity in depth over at the Quantcha Options Search Engine.
TEX was recently trading at $45.10 and has an implied volatility of 33.82% for this period. Based on an analysis of the options available for TEX expiring on 17-Jan-2025, there is a 34.24% likelihood that the underlying will close within the analyzed range of $41.36-$45.24 at expiration. In this scenario, the average linear return for the trade would be 63.88%.
52 week low: TEREX recently reached a new 52-week low at $44.43. TEX had traded in the range $44.60-$68.08 over the past year.
Trade approach: Reaching a new 52-week low is a bearish indicator, so this trade is designed to be profitable if TEX maintains its current direction and does not revert back to pricing on the bullish side of $45.10 on 17-Jan-2025. If possible, the trade has been padded such that slight movement against the trade would still return a profit.
Upside potential: Using this bearish strategy, the trade would be profitable if TEREX closes at or below $45.35 on 17-Jan-2025. Based on our risk-neutral analysis, there is a 51.06% likelihood of this return.
Downside risk: As with any options trade, there is a substantial downside risk where you may lose most or all of your investment.
To analyze this trade in depth, please visit the Quantcha Options Search Engine.
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