Quantchabot has detected a new Bear Call Spread trade opportunity for TEXTRON (TXT) for the 17-Jan-2025 expiration period. You can analyze the opportunity in depth over at the Quantcha Options Search Engine.
TXT was recently trading at $76.76 and has an implied volatility of 21.66% for this period. Based on an analysis of the options available for TXT expiring on 17-Jan-2025, there is a 34.28% likelihood that the underlying will close within the analyzed range of $73.26-$76.94 at expiration. In this scenario, the average linear return for the trade would be 46.68%.
52 week low: TEXTRON recently reached a new 52-week low at $75.34. TXT had traded in the range $75.36-$97.33 over the past year.
Trade approach: Reaching a new 52-week low is a bearish indicator, so this trade is designed to be profitable if TXT maintains its current direction and does not revert back to pricing on the bullish side of $76.76 on 17-Jan-2025. If possible, the trade has been padded such that slight movement against the trade would still return a profit.
Upside potential: Using this bearish strategy, the trade would be profitable if TEXTRON closes at or below $77.05 on 17-Jan-2025. Based on our risk-neutral analysis, there is a 51.16% likelihood of this return.
Downside risk: As with any options trade, there is a substantial downside risk where you may lose most or all of your investment.
To analyze this trade in depth, please visit the Quantcha Options Search Engine.
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