Quantchabot has detected a new Bear Call Spread trade opportunity for SIMPSON MANUFACTURING (SSD) for the 17-Apr-2025 expiration period. You can analyze the opportunity in depth over at the Quantcha Options Search Engine.
SSD was recently trading at $154.55 and has an implied volatility of 34.93% for this period. Based on an analysis of the options available for SSD expiring on 17-Apr-2025, there is a 34.19% likelihood that the underlying will close within the analyzed range of $138.92-$154.94 at expiration. In this scenario, the average linear return for the trade would be 99.27%.
52 week low: SIMPSON MANUFACTURING recently reached a new 52-week low at $154.47. SSD had traded in the range $154.97-$208.12 over the past year.
Trade approach: Reaching a new 52-week low is a bearish indicator, so this trade is designed to be profitable if SSD maintains its current direction and does not revert back to pricing on the bullish side of $154.55 on 17-Apr-2025. If possible, the trade has been padded such that slight movement against the trade would still return a profit.
Upside potential: Using this bearish strategy, the trade would be profitable if SIMPSON MANUFACTURING closes at or below $155.60 on 17-Apr-2025. Based on our risk-neutral analysis, there is a 51.55% likelihood of this return.
Downside risk: As with any options trade, there is a substantial downside risk where you may lose most or all of your investment.
To analyze this trade in depth, please visit the Quantcha Options Search Engine.
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