Quantchabot has detected a new Bear Call Spread trade opportunity for PONY AI INC. ADS (PONY) for the 15-Aug-2025 expiration period. You can analyze the opportunity in depth over at the Quantcha Options Search Engine.
PONY was recently trading at $12.10 and has an implied volatility of 114.93% for this period. Based on an analysis of the options available for PONY expiring on 15-Aug-2025, there is a 34.18% likelihood that the underlying will close within the analyzed range of $7.93-$12.17 at expiration. In this scenario, the average linear return for the trade would be 47.42%.
Big -7.07% Change: After closing the last trading session at $13.02, PONY AI INC. ADS opened today at $13.09 and has reached a low of $11.77.
Trade approach: A movement as big as -7.07% is a significantly bearish indicator, so this trade is designed to be profitable if PONY maintains its current direction and does not revert back to pricing on the bullish side of $12.10 on 15-Aug-2025. If possible, the trade has been padded such that slight movement against the trade would still return a profit.
Upside potential: Using this bearish strategy, the trade would be profitable if PONY AI INC. ADS closes at or below $12.47 on 15-Aug-2025. Based on our risk-neutral analysis, there is a 52.25% likelihood of this return.
Downside risk: As with any options trade, there is a substantial downside risk where you may lose most or all of your investment.
To analyze this trade in depth, please visit the Quantcha Options Search Engine.
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