Quantchabot has detected a new Bear Call Spread trade opportunity for ARGAN (AGX) for the 15-Aug-2025 expiration period. You can analyze the opportunity in depth over at the Quantcha Options Search Engine.
AGX was recently trading at $226.70 and has an implied volatility of 65.16% for this period. Based on an analysis of the options available for AGX expiring on 15-Aug-2025, there is a 34.28% likelihood that the underlying will close within the analyzed range of $199.37-$227.12 at expiration. In this scenario, the average linear return for the trade would be 58.41%.
Big -7.46% Change: After closing the last trading session at $244.98, ARGAN opened today at $236.50 and has reached a low of $215.69.
Trade approach: A movement as big as -7.46% is a significantly bearish indicator, so this trade is designed to be profitable if AGX maintains its current direction and does not revert back to pricing on the bullish side of $226.70 on 15-Aug-2025. If possible, the trade has been padded such that slight movement against the trade would still return a profit.
Upside potential: Using this bearish strategy, the trade would be profitable if ARGAN closes at or below $227.40 on 15-Aug-2025. Based on our risk-neutral analysis, there is a 50.39% likelihood of this return.
Downside risk: As with any options trade, there is a substantial downside risk where you may lose most or all of your investment.
To analyze this trade in depth, please visit the Quantcha Options Search Engine.
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