Big Loser Alert: Trading today’s -8.4% move in CIRCLE INTERNET GROUP INC $CRCL

Quantchabot has detected a new Bear Call Spread trade opportunity for CIRCLE INTERNET GROUP INC (CRCL) for the 8-Aug-2025 expiration period. You can analyze the opportunity in depth over at the Quantcha Options Search Engine.

CRCL was recently trading at $168.09 and has an implied volatility of 81.82% for this period. Based on an analysis of the options available for CRCL expiring on 8-Aug-2025, there is a 34.41% likelihood that the underlying will close within the analyzed range of $149.36-$168.25 at expiration. In this scenario, the average linear return for the trade would be 19.56%.

Big -8.41% Change: After closing the last trading session at $183.52, CIRCLE INTERNET GROUP INC opened today at $176.93 and has reached a low of $167.50.

Trade approach: A movement as big as -8.41% is a significantly bearish indicator, so this trade is designed to be profitable if CRCL maintains its current direction and does not revert back to pricing on the bullish side of $168.09 on 8-Aug-2025. If possible, the trade has been padded such that slight movement against the trade would still return a profit.

Upside potential: Using this bearish strategy, the trade would be profitable if CIRCLE INTERNET GROUP INC closes at or below $168.30 on 8-Aug-2025. Based on our risk-neutral analysis, there is a 50.11% likelihood of this return.

Downside risk: As with any options trade, there is a substantial downside risk where you may lose most or all of your investment.

To analyze this trade in depth, please visit the Quantcha Options Search Engine.


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