Quantchabot has detected a new Bear Call Spread trade opportunity for UPSTART HOLDINGS INC. COMMON STOCK (UPST) for the 24-Oct-2025 expiration period. You can analyze the opportunity in depth over at the Quantcha Options Search Engine.
UPST was recently trading at $63.12 and has an implied volatility of 67.32% for this period. Based on an analysis of the options available for UPST expiring on 24-Oct-2025, there is a 34.18% likelihood that the underlying will close within the analyzed range of $50.14-$63.46 at expiration. In this scenario, the average linear return for the trade would be 30.48%.
Big -8.42% Change: After closing the last trading session at $68.92, UPSTART HOLDINGS INC. COMMON STOCK opened today at $67.04 and has reached a low of $62.16.
Trade approach: A movement as big as -8.42% is a significantly bearish indicator, so this trade is designed to be profitable if UPST maintains its current direction and does not revert back to pricing on the bullish side of $63.12 on 24-Oct-2025. If possible, the trade has been padded such that slight movement against the trade would still return a profit.
Upside potential: Using this bearish strategy, the trade would be profitable if UPSTART HOLDINGS INC. COMMON STOCK closes at or below $63.63 on 24-Oct-2025. Based on our risk-neutral analysis, there is a 50.47% likelihood of this return.
Downside risk: As with any options trade, there is a substantial downside risk where you may lose most or all of your investment.
To analyze this trade in depth, please visit the Quantcha Options Search Engine.
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