Big Loser Alert: Trading today’s -12.8% move in ADTRAN $ADTN

Quantchabot has detected a new Bear Call Spread trade opportunity for ADTRAN (ADTN) for the 17-Oct-2025 expiration period. You can analyze the opportunity in depth over at the Quantcha Options Search Engine.

ADTN was recently trading at $9.11 and has an implied volatility of 51.17% for this period. Based on an analysis of the options available for ADTN expiring on 17-Oct-2025, there is a 34.20% likelihood that the underlying will close within the analyzed range of $7.86-$9.14 at expiration. In this scenario, the average linear return for the trade would be 96.06%.

Big -12.79% Change: After closing the last trading session at $10.44, ADTRAN opened today at $9.40 and has reached a low of $8.96.

Trade approach: A movement as big as -12.79% is a significantly bearish indicator, so this trade is designed to be profitable if ADTN maintains its current direction and does not revert back to pricing on the bullish side of $9.11 on 17-Oct-2025. If possible, the trade has been padded such that slight movement against the trade would still return a profit.

Upside potential: Using this bearish strategy, the trade would be profitable if ADTRAN closes at or below $9.30 on 17-Oct-2025. Based on our risk-neutral analysis, there is a 54.63% likelihood of this return.

Downside risk: As with any options trade, there is a substantial downside risk where you may lose most or all of your investment.

To analyze this trade in depth, please visit the Quantcha Options Search Engine.


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