Quantchabot has detected a new Bear Call Spread trade opportunity for SUPER MICRO COMPUTER (SMCI) for the 31-Oct-2025 expiration period. You can analyze the opportunity in depth over at the Quantcha Options Search Engine.
SMCI was recently trading at $48.70 and has an implied volatility of 73.03% for this period. Based on an analysis of the options available for SMCI expiring on 31-Oct-2025, there is a 34.37% likelihood that the underlying will close within the analyzed range of $43.56-$48.75 at expiration. In this scenario, the average linear return for the trade would be 17.35%.
Big -7.23% Change: After closing the last trading session at $52.50, SUPER MICRO COMPUTER opened today at $51.73 and has reached a low of $48.49.
Trade approach: A movement as big as -7.23% is a significantly bearish indicator, so this trade is designed to be profitable if SMCI maintains its current direction and does not revert back to pricing on the bullish side of $48.70 on 31-Oct-2025. If possible, the trade has been padded such that slight movement against the trade would still return a profit.
Upside potential: Using this bearish strategy, the trade would be profitable if SUPER MICRO COMPUTER closes at or below $48.76 on 31-Oct-2025. Based on our risk-neutral analysis, there is a 50.05% likelihood of this return.
Downside risk: As with any options trade, there is a substantial downside risk where you may lose most or all of your investment.
To analyze this trade in depth, please visit the Quantcha Options Search Engine.
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