Quantchabot has detected a new Bear Call Spread trade opportunity for RIOT BLOCKCHAIN INC. COMMON STOCK (RIOT) for the 20-Feb-2026 expiration period. You can analyze the opportunity in depth over at the Quantcha Options Search Engine.
RIOT was recently trading at $14.04 and has an implied volatility of 84.91% for this period. Based on an analysis of the options available for RIOT expiring on 20-Feb-2026, there is a 34.17% likelihood that the underlying will close within the analyzed range of $9.81-$14.14 at expiration. In this scenario, the average linear return for the trade would be 20.78%.
Big -8.24% Change: After closing the last trading session at $15.30, RIOT BLOCKCHAIN INC. COMMON STOCK opened today at $15.29 and has reached a low of $13.81.
Trade approach: A movement as big as -8.24% is a significantly bearish indicator, so this trade is designed to be profitable if RIOT maintains its current direction and does not revert back to pricing on the bullish side of $14.04 on 20-Feb-2026. If possible, the trade has been padded such that slight movement against the trade would still return a profit.
Upside potential: Using this bearish strategy, the trade would be profitable if RIOT BLOCKCHAIN INC. COMMON STOCK closes at or below $14.21 on 20-Feb-2026. Based on our risk-neutral analysis, there is a 50.54% likelihood of this return.
Downside risk: As with any options trade, there is a substantial downside risk where you may lose most or all of your investment.
To analyze this trade in depth, please visit the Quantcha Options Search Engine.
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