Big Loser Alert: Trading today’s -7.2% move in SUPER MICRO COMPUTER $SMCI

Quantchabot has detected a new Bear Call Spread trade opportunity for SUPER MICRO COMPUTER (SMCI) for the 30-Jan-2026 expiration period. You can analyze the opportunity in depth over at the Quantcha Options Search Engine.

SMCI was recently trading at $27.95 and has an implied volatility of 69.96% for this period. Based on an analysis of the options available for SMCI expiring on 30-Jan-2026, there is a 34.28% likelihood that the underlying will close within the analyzed range of $24.00-$28.00 at expiration. In this scenario, the average linear return for the trade would be 29.19%.

Big -7.20% Change: After closing the last trading session at $30.12, SUPER MICRO COMPUTER opened today at $29.89 and has reached a low of $27.80.

Trade approach: A movement as big as -7.20% is a significantly bearish indicator, so this trade is designed to be profitable if SMCI maintains its current direction and does not revert back to pricing on the bullish side of $27.95 on 30-Jan-2026. If possible, the trade has been padded such that slight movement against the trade would still return a profit.

Upside potential: Using this bearish strategy, the trade would be profitable if SUPER MICRO COMPUTER closes at or below $28.02 on 30-Jan-2026. Based on our risk-neutral analysis, there is a 50.18% likelihood of this return.

Downside risk: As with any options trade, there is a substantial downside risk where you may lose most or all of your investment.

To analyze this trade in depth, please visit the Quantcha Options Search Engine.


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