Quantchabot has detected a new Bull Call Spread trade opportunity for ALCOA (AA) for the 16-Jan-2026 expiration period. You can analyze the opportunity in depth over at the Quantcha Options Search Engine.
AA was recently trading at $65.80 and has an implied volatility of 61.08% for this period. Based on an analysis of the options available for AA expiring on 16-Jan-2026, there is a 35.14% likelihood that the underlying will close within the analyzed range of $65.81-$69.30 at expiration. In this scenario, the average linear return for the trade would be 11.72%.
52 week high: ALCOA recently reached a new 52-week high at $66.95. AA had traded in the range $21.53-$66.05 over the past year.
Trade approach: Reaching a new 52-week high is a bullish indicator, so this trade is designed to be profitable if AA maintains its current direction and does not revert back to pricing on the bearish side of $65.80 on 16-Jan-2026. If possible, the trade has been padded such that slight movement against the trade would still return a profit.
Upside potential: Using this bullish strategy, the trade would be profitable if ALCOA closes at or above $64.84 on 16-Jan-2026. Based on our risk-neutral analysis, there is a 61.82% likelihood of this return.
Downside risk: As with any options trade, there is a substantial downside risk where you may lose most or all of your investment.
To analyze this trade in depth, please visit the Quantcha Options Search Engine.
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