Quantchabot has detected a new Bear Put Spread trade opportunity for THE BALDWIN INSURANCE GROUP INC. CLASS A (BWIN) for the 20-Feb-2026 expiration period. You can analyze the opportunity in depth over at the Quantcha Options Search Engine.
BWIN was recently trading at $18.17 and has an implied volatility of 98.73% for this period. Based on an analysis of the options available for BWIN expiring on 20-Feb-2026, there is a 34.36% likelihood that the underlying will close within the analyzed range of $15.26-$18.19 at expiration. In this scenario, the average linear return for the trade would be 17.03%.
Big -7.15% Change: After closing the last trading session at $19.57, THE BALDWIN INSURANCE GROUP INC. CLASS A opened today at $19.47 and has reached a low of $18.08.
Trade approach: A movement as big as -7.15% is a significantly bearish indicator, so this trade is designed to be profitable if BWIN maintains its current direction and does not revert back to pricing on the bullish side of $18.17 on 20-Feb-2026. If possible, the trade has been padded such that slight movement against the trade would still return a profit.
Upside potential: Using this bearish strategy, the trade would be profitable if THE BALDWIN INSURANCE GROUP INC. CLASS A closes at or below $18.30 on 20-Feb-2026. Based on our risk-neutral analysis, there is a 51.36% likelihood of this return.
Downside risk: As with any options trade, there is a substantial downside risk where you may lose most or all of your investment.
To analyze this trade in depth, please visit the Quantcha Options Search Engine.
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