Quantchabot has detected a new Bear Put Spread trade opportunity for SMURFIT WESTROCK PLC (SW) for the 17-Jul-2026 expiration period. You can analyze the opportunity in depth over at the Quantcha Options Search Engine.
SW was recently trading at $41.27 and has an implied volatility of 48.96% for this period. Based on an analysis of the options available for SW expiring on 17-Jul-2026, there is a 34.35% likelihood that the underlying will close within the analyzed range of $38.15-$41.32 at expiration. In this scenario, the average linear return for the trade would be 28.44%.
Big -8.28% Change: After closing the last trading session at $45.00, SMURFIT WESTROCK PLC opened today at $44.27 and has reached a low of $41.13.
Trade approach: A movement as big as -8.28% is a significantly bearish indicator, so this trade is designed to be profitable if SW maintains its current direction and does not revert back to pricing on the bullish side of $41.27 on 17-Jul-2026. If possible, the trade has been padded such that slight movement against the trade would still return a profit.
Upside potential: Using this bearish strategy, the trade would be profitable if SMURFIT WESTROCK PLC closes at or below $41.35 on 17-Jul-2026. Based on our risk-neutral analysis, there is a 50.42% likelihood of this return.
Downside risk: As with any options trade, there is a substantial downside risk where you may lose most or all of your investment.
To analyze this trade in depth, please visit the Quantcha Options Search Engine.
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