Big Loser Alert: Trading today’s -19.1% move in NOVO-NORDISK $NVO

Quantchabot has detected a new Bear Call Spread trade opportunity for NOVO-NORDISK (NVO) for the 31-Jan-2025 expiration period. You can analyze the opportunity in depth over at the Quantcha Options Search Engine.

NVO was recently trading at $83.70 and has an implied volatility of 32.47% for this period. Based on an analysis of the options available for NVO expiring on 31-Jan-2025, there is a 34.20% likelihood that the underlying will close within the analyzed range of $75.29-$84.14 at expiration. In this scenario, the average linear return for the trade would be 74.46%.

Big -19.08% Change: After closing the last trading session at $103.44, NOVO-NORDISK opened today at $82.72 and has reached a low of $82.11.

Trade approach: A movement as big as -19.08% is a significantly bearish indicator, so this trade is designed to be profitable if NVO maintains its current direction and does not revert back to pricing on the bullish side of $83.70 on 31-Jan-2025. If possible, the trade has been padded such that slight movement against the trade would still return a profit.

Upside potential: Using this bearish strategy, the trade would be profitable if NOVO-NORDISK closes at or below $86.17 on 31-Jan-2025. Based on our risk-neutral analysis, there is a 58.50% likelihood of this return.

Downside risk: As with any options trade, there is a substantial downside risk where you may lose most or all of your investment.

To analyze this trade in depth, please visit the Quantcha Options Search Engine.


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