Quantchabot has detected a new Bull Call Spread trade opportunity for AAR (AIR) for the 21-Feb-2025 expiration period. You can analyze the opportunity in depth over at the Quantcha Options Search Engine.
AIR was recently trading at $67.09 and has an implied volatility of 28.86% for this period. Based on an analysis of the options available for AIR expiring on 21-Feb-2025, there is a 34.19% likelihood that the underlying will close within the analyzed range of $67.45-$74.53 at expiration. In this scenario, the average linear return for the trade would be 19.32%.
Big 8.65% Change: After closing the last trading session at $61.75, AAR opened today at $66.00 and has reached a high of $68.92.
Trade approach: A movement as big as 8.65% is a significantly bullish indicator, so this trade is designed to be profitable if AIR maintains its current direction and does not revert back to pricing on the bearish side of $67.09 on 21-Feb-2025. If possible, the trade has been padded such that slight movement against the trade would still return a profit.
Upside potential: Using this bullish strategy, the trade would be profitable if AAR closes at or above $66.30 on 21-Feb-2025. Based on our risk-neutral analysis, there is a 56.86% likelihood of this return.
Downside risk: As with any options trade, there is a substantial downside risk where you may lose most or all of your investment.
To analyze this trade in depth, please visit the Quantcha Options Search Engine.
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