Quantchabot has detected a new Bear Call Spread trade opportunity for TARGET (TGT) for the 25-Apr-2025 expiration period. You can analyze the opportunity in depth over at the Quantcha Options Search Engine.
TGT was recently trading at $110.28 and has an implied volatility of 32.52% for this period. Based on an analysis of the options available for TGT expiring on 25-Apr-2025, there is a 34.18% likelihood that the underlying will close within the analyzed range of $98.95-$110.89 at expiration. In this scenario, the average linear return for the trade would be 60.97%.
52 week low: TARGET recently reached a new 52-week low at $110.06. TGT had traded in the range $111.84-$181.86 over the past year.
Trade approach: Reaching a new 52-week low is a bearish indicator, so this trade is designed to be profitable if TGT maintains its current direction and does not revert back to pricing on the bullish side of $110.28 on 25-Apr-2025. If possible, the trade has been padded such that slight movement against the trade would still return a profit.
Upside potential: Using this bearish strategy, the trade would be profitable if TARGET closes at or below $110.89 on 25-Apr-2025. Based on our risk-neutral analysis, there is a 50.02% likelihood of this return.
Downside risk: As with any options trade, there is a substantial downside risk where you may lose most or all of your investment.
To analyze this trade in depth, please visit the Quantcha Options Search Engine.
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