Synthetic Long Discount Alert: VIRGIN GALACTIC HOLDINGS INC $SPCE trading at a 12.15% discount for the 16-Jan-2026 expiration

Quantchabot has detected a new Synthetic Long Stock trade opportunity for VIRGIN GALACTIC HOLDINGS INC (SPCE) for the 16-Jan-2026 expiration period. You can analyze the opportunity in depth over at the Quantcha Options Search Engine.

SPCE was recently trading at $5.41 and has an implied volatility of 97.46% for this period. Based on an analysis of the options available for SPCE expiring on 16-Jan-2026, there is a 68.29% likelihood that the underlying will close within the analyzed range of $2.50-$12.39 at expiration. In this scenario, the average linear return for the trade would be 57.67%.

Upside potential: This synthetic long position offers the same potential benefits and liabilities as a long stock position, but at a discount due to the significant premium at-the-money puts are trading at over calls. In this case, the put position is opened at a strike of $5.50, which is already $0.09 in-the-money. However, its sale more than offsets this moneyness and the cost of the long call that the trade results in a net credit of of $0.75 per share. The final position can be considered as having a discount of $0.66 per share over the underlying price of $5.41 for a 12.15% total.

Downside risk: This discount is generally a sign of the stock facing considerable short pressure, and may indicate that the stock has become hard to borrow. However, if you have a long view of the underlying over this period, it could be a good opportunity to benefit from the upside at a major discount.

To analyze this trade in depth, please visit the Quantcha Options Search Engine.