Quantchabot has detected a new Bear Call Spread trade opportunity for BOSTON BEER COMPANY (SAM) for the 18-Jul-2025 expiration period. You can analyze the opportunity in depth over at the Quantcha Options Search Engine.
SAM was recently trading at $188.37 and has an implied volatility of 35.16% for this period. Based on an analysis of the options available for SAM expiring on 18-Jul-2025, there is a 34.23% likelihood that the underlying will close within the analyzed range of $173.06-$188.87 at expiration. In this scenario, the average linear return for the trade would be 54.85%.
52 week low: BOSTON BEER COMPANY recently reached a new 52-week low at $185.34. SAM had traded in the range $190.98-$329.55 over the past year.
Trade approach: Reaching a new 52-week low is a bearish indicator, so this trade is designed to be profitable if SAM maintains its current direction and does not revert back to pricing on the bullish side of $188.37 on 18-Jul-2025. If possible, the trade has been padded such that slight movement against the trade would still return a profit.
Upside potential: Using this bearish strategy, the trade would be profitable if BOSTON BEER COMPANY closes at or below $190.00 on 18-Jul-2025. Based on our risk-neutral analysis, there is a 52.74% likelihood of this return.
Downside risk: As with any options trade, there is a substantial downside risk where you may lose most or all of your investment.
To analyze this trade in depth, please visit the Quantcha Options Search Engine.
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