Quantchabot has detected a new Bull Call Spread trade opportunity for ULTRAGENYX PHARMACEUTICAL INC. (RARE) for the 18-Jul-2025 expiration period. You can analyze the opportunity in depth over at the Quantcha Options Search Engine.
RARE was recently trading at $38.80 and has an implied volatility of 142.64% for this period. Based on an analysis of the options available for RARE expiring on 18-Jul-2025, there is a 34.26% likelihood that the underlying will close within the analyzed range of $38.88-$52.75 at expiration. In this scenario, the average linear return for the trade would be 10.76%.
Big 7.02% Change: After closing the last trading session at $36.26, ULTRAGENYX PHARMACEUTICAL INC. opened today at $36.57 and has reached a high of $38.94.
Trade approach: A movement as big as 7.02% is a significantly bullish indicator, so this trade is designed to be profitable if RARE maintains its current direction and does not revert back to pricing on the bearish side of $38.80 on 18-Jul-2025. If possible, the trade has been padded such that slight movement against the trade would still return a profit.
Upside potential: Using this bullish strategy, the trade would be profitable if ULTRAGENYX PHARMACEUTICAL INC. closes at or above $33.30 on 18-Jul-2025. Based on our risk-neutral analysis, there is a 69.52% likelihood of this return.
Downside risk: As with any options trade, there is a substantial downside risk where you may lose most or all of your investment.
To analyze this trade in depth, please visit the Quantcha Options Search Engine.
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