Quantchabot has detected a new Bear Call Spread trade opportunity for APPLIED DIGITAL INC (APLD) for the 16-Jan-2026 expiration period. You can analyze the opportunity in depth over at the Quantcha Options Search Engine.
APLD was recently trading at $19.37 and has an implied volatility of 115.80% for this period. Based on an analysis of the options available for APLD expiring on 16-Jan-2026, there is a 34.18% likelihood that the underlying will close within the analyzed range of $12.35-$19.50 at expiration. In this scenario, the average linear return for the trade would be 13.72%.
Big -9.34% Change: After closing the last trading session at $21.37, APPLIED DIGITAL INC opened today at $21.25 and has reached a low of $19.34.
Trade approach: A movement as big as -9.34% is a significantly bearish indicator, so this trade is designed to be profitable if APLD maintains its current direction and does not revert back to pricing on the bullish side of $19.37 on 16-Jan-2026. If possible, the trade has been padded such that slight movement against the trade would still return a profit.
Upside potential: Using this bearish strategy, the trade would be profitable if APPLIED DIGITAL INC closes at or below $19.51 on 16-Jan-2026. Based on our risk-neutral analysis, there is a 50.05% likelihood of this return.
Downside risk: As with any options trade, there is a substantial downside risk where you may lose most or all of your investment.
To analyze this trade in depth, please visit the Quantcha Options Search Engine.
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