Quantchabot has detected a new Bull Call Spread trade opportunity for MERCK (MRK) for the 16-Jan-2026 expiration period. You can analyze the opportunity in depth over at the Quantcha Options Search Engine.
MRK was recently trading at $104.88 and has an implied volatility of 27.93% for this period. Based on an analysis of the options available for MRK expiring on 16-Jan-2026, there is a 34.18% likelihood that the underlying will close within the analyzed range of $104.64-$116.25 at expiration. In this scenario, the average linear return for the trade would be 10.89%.
52 week high: MERCK recently reached a new 52-week high at $105.10. MRK had traded in the range $73.31-$105.07 over the past year.
Trade approach: Reaching a new 52-week high is a bullish indicator, so this trade is designed to be profitable if MRK maintains its current direction and does not revert back to pricing on the bearish side of $104.88 on 16-Jan-2026. If possible, the trade has been padded such that slight movement against the trade would still return a profit.
Upside potential: Using this bullish strategy, the trade would be profitable if MERCK closes at or above $104.25 on 16-Jan-2026. Based on our risk-neutral analysis, there is a 51.41% likelihood of this return.
Downside risk: As with any options trade, there is a substantial downside risk where you may lose most or all of your investment.
To analyze this trade in depth, please visit the Quantcha Options Search Engine.
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