Quantchabot has detected a new Bear Call Spread trade opportunity for APPLIED DIGITAL INC (APLD) for the 16-Jan-2026 expiration period. You can analyze the opportunity in depth over at the Quantcha Options Search Engine.
APLD was recently trading at $24.64 and has an implied volatility of 116.18% for this period. Based on an analysis of the options available for APLD expiring on 16-Jan-2026, there is a 34.21% likelihood that the underlying will close within the analyzed range of $17.46-$24.73 at expiration. In this scenario, the average linear return for the trade would be 97.10%.
Big -11.55% Change: After closing the last trading session at $27.86, APPLIED DIGITAL INC opened today at $27.86 and has reached a low of $23.70.
Trade approach: A movement as big as -11.55% is a significantly bearish indicator, so this trade is designed to be profitable if APLD maintains its current direction and does not revert back to pricing on the bullish side of $24.64 on 16-Jan-2026. If possible, the trade has been padded such that slight movement against the trade would still return a profit.
Upside potential: Using this bearish strategy, the trade would be profitable if APPLIED DIGITAL INC closes at or below $24.74 on 16-Jan-2026. Based on our risk-neutral analysis, there is a 50.07% likelihood of this return.
Downside risk: As with any options trade, there is a substantial downside risk where you may lose most or all of your investment.
To analyze this trade in depth, please visit the Quantcha Options Search Engine.
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