Big Loser Alert: Trading today’s -8.6% move in PBF ENERGY $PBF

Quantchabot has detected a new Bear Call Spread trade opportunity for PBF ENERGY (PBF) for the 16-Jan-2026 expiration period. You can analyze the opportunity in depth over at the Quantcha Options Search Engine.

PBF was recently trading at $27.36 and has an implied volatility of 56.69% for this period. Based on an analysis of the options available for PBF expiring on 16-Jan-2026, there is a 34.22% likelihood that the underlying will close within the analyzed range of $23.23-$27.46 at expiration. In this scenario, the average linear return for the trade would be 61.06%.

Big -8.57% Change: After closing the last trading session at $29.93, PBF ENERGY opened today at $29.28 and has reached a low of $27.34.

Trade approach: A movement as big as -8.57% is a significantly bearish indicator, so this trade is designed to be profitable if PBF maintains its current direction and does not revert back to pricing on the bullish side of $27.36 on 16-Jan-2026. If possible, the trade has been padded such that slight movement against the trade would still return a profit.

Upside potential: Using this bearish strategy, the trade would be profitable if PBF ENERGY closes at or below $27.50 on 16-Jan-2026. Based on our risk-neutral analysis, there is a 50.39% likelihood of this return.

Downside risk: As with any options trade, there is a substantial downside risk where you may lose most or all of your investment.

To analyze this trade in depth, please visit the Quantcha Options Search Engine.


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