Quantchabot has detected a new Bear Call Spread trade opportunity for MARATHON DIGITAL HOLDINGS INC (MARA) for the 20-Feb-2026 expiration period. You can analyze the opportunity in depth over at the Quantcha Options Search Engine.
MARA was recently trading at $10.52 and has an implied volatility of 88.57% for this period. Based on an analysis of the options available for MARA expiring on 20-Feb-2026, there is a 34.22% likelihood that the underlying will close within the analyzed range of $8.13-$10.55 at expiration. In this scenario, the average linear return for the trade would be 26.58%.
Big -7.39% Change: After closing the last trading session at $11.36, MARATHON DIGITAL HOLDINGS INC opened today at $10.81 and has reached a low of $10.22.
Trade approach: A movement as big as -7.39% is a significantly bearish indicator, so this trade is designed to be profitable if MARA maintains its current direction and does not revert back to pricing on the bullish side of $10.52 on 20-Feb-2026. If possible, the trade has been padded such that slight movement against the trade would still return a profit.
Upside potential: Using this bearish strategy, the trade would be profitable if MARATHON DIGITAL HOLDINGS INC closes at or below $10.56 on 20-Feb-2026. Based on our risk-neutral analysis, there is a 50.08% likelihood of this return.
Downside risk: As with any options trade, there is a substantial downside risk where you may lose most or all of your investment.
To analyze this trade in depth, please visit the Quantcha Options Search Engine.
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