Quantchabot has detected a new Bull Call Spread trade opportunity for ECOPETROL (EC) for the 17-Jul-2026 expiration period. You can analyze the opportunity in depth over at the Quantcha Options Search Engine.
EC was recently trading at $16.02 and has an implied volatility of 59.90% for this period. Based on an analysis of the options available for EC expiring on 17-Jul-2026, there is a 34.18% likelihood that the underlying will close within the analyzed range of $16.10-$19.94 at expiration. In this scenario, the average linear return for the trade would be 11.11%.
52 week high: ECOPETROL recently reached a new 52-week high at $16.45. EC had traded in the range $8.27-$15.62 over the past year.
Trade approach: Reaching a new 52-week high is a bullish indicator, so this trade is designed to be profitable if EC maintains its current direction and does not revert back to pricing on the bearish side of $16.02 on 17-Jul-2026. If possible, the trade has been padded such that slight movement against the trade would still return a profit.
Upside potential: Using this bullish strategy, the trade would be profitable if ECOPETROL closes at or above $13.90 on 17-Jul-2026. Based on our risk-neutral analysis, there is a 75.41% likelihood of this return.
Downside risk: As with any options trade, there is a substantial downside risk where you may lose most or all of your investment.
To analyze this trade in depth, please visit the Quantcha Options Search Engine.
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