Quantchabot has detected a new Bull Call Spread trade opportunity for UBS GROUP AG (UBS) for the 17-Jul-2026 expiration period. You can analyze the opportunity in depth over at the Quantcha Options Search Engine.
UBS was recently trading at $51.16 and has an implied volatility of 24.92% for this period. Based on an analysis of the options available for UBS expiring on 17-Jul-2026, there is a 34.21% likelihood that the underlying will close within the analyzed range of $51.30-$54.80 at expiration. In this scenario, the average linear return for the trade would be 11.39%.
52 week high: UBS GROUP AG recently reached a new 52-week high at $51.20. UBS had traded in the range $30.36-$51.12 over the past year.
Trade approach: Reaching a new 52-week high is a bullish indicator, so this trade is designed to be profitable if UBS maintains its current direction and does not revert back to pricing on the bearish side of $51.16 on 17-Jul-2026. If possible, the trade has been padded such that slight movement against the trade would still return a profit.
Upside potential: Using this bullish strategy, the trade would be profitable if UBS GROUP AG closes at or above $51.00 on 17-Jul-2026. Based on our risk-neutral analysis, there is a 53.48% likelihood of this return.
Downside risk: As with any options trade, there is a substantial downside risk where you may lose most or all of your investment.
To analyze this trade in depth, please visit the Quantcha Options Search Engine.
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