Quantchabot has detected a new Bear Call Spread trade opportunity for ASML HOLDING (ASML) for the 10-Jul-2026 expiration period. You can analyze the opportunity in depth over at the Quantcha Options Search Engine.
ASML was recently trading at $1,785.68 and has an implied volatility of 55.78% for this period. Based on an analysis of the options available for ASML expiring on 10-Jul-2026, there is a 34.25% likelihood that the underlying will close within the analyzed range of $1,582.13-$1,788.91 at expiration. In this scenario, the average linear return for the trade would be 20.13%.
Big -7.44% Change: After closing the last trading session at $1,929.25, ASML HOLDING opened today at $1,777.70 and has reached a low of $1,777.00.
Trade approach: A movement as big as -7.44% is a significantly bearish indicator, so this trade is designed to be profitable if ASML maintains its current direction and does not revert back to pricing on the bullish side of $1,785.68 on 10-Jul-2026. If possible, the trade has been padded such that slight movement against the trade would still return a profit.
Upside potential: Using this bearish strategy, the trade would be profitable if ASML HOLDING closes at or below $1,789.30 on 10-Jul-2026. Based on our risk-neutral analysis, there is a 50.08% likelihood of this return.
Downside risk: As with any options trade, there is a substantial downside risk where you may lose most or all of your investment.
To analyze this trade in depth, please visit the Quantcha Options Search Engine.
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