Quantchabot has detected a new Bull Call Spread trade opportunity for HARLEY-DAVIDSON (HOG) for the 23-Oct-2026 expiration period. You can analyze the opportunity in depth over at the Quantcha Options Search Engine.
HOG was recently trading at $27.03 and has an implied volatility of 45.72% for this period. Based on an analysis of the options available for HOG expiring on 23-Oct-2026, there is a 34.24% likelihood that the underlying will close within the analyzed range of $27.09-$30.03 at expiration. In this scenario, the average linear return for the trade would be 13.80%.
Big 10.10% Change: After closing the last trading session at $24.55, HARLEY-DAVIDSON opened today at $25.79 and has reached a high of $27.20.
Trade approach: A movement as big as 10.10% is a significantly bullish indicator, so this trade is designed to be profitable if HOG maintains its current direction and does not revert back to pricing on the bearish side of $27.03 on 23-Oct-2026. If possible, the trade has been padded such that slight movement against the trade would still return a profit.
Upside potential: Using this bullish strategy, the trade would be profitable if HARLEY-DAVIDSON closes at or above $26.80 on 23-Oct-2026. Based on our risk-neutral analysis, there is a 54.12% likelihood of this return.
Downside risk: As with any options trade, there is a substantial downside risk where you may lose most or all of your investment.
To analyze this trade in depth, please visit the Quantcha Options Search Engine.
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