All posts by Automated Ideas

Ideas posted by this account are automatically generated based on market analysis. Please be aware that they are not vetted and the publishing process is completely automated. If you have any feedback about the ideas posted, please email hello@quantcha.com.

StockTwits Trending Alert: Trading recent interest in CASEY’S GENERAL STORES $CASY

Quantchabot has detected a promising Bear Call Spread trade opportunity for CASEY’S GENERAL STORES (CASY) for the 18-Nov-2022 expiration period. You can analyze the opportunity in depth over at the Quantcha Options Search Engine.

CASY was recently trading at $186.90 and has an implied volatility of 31.35% for this period. Based on an analysis of the options available for CASY expiring on 18-Nov-2022, there is a 33.82% likelihood that the underlying will close within the analyzed range of $152.30-$186.96 at expiration. In this scenario, the average linear return for the trade would be 43.97%.

Trending on StockTwits: StockTwits® is a financial communications platform for the financial and investing community. On their site, CASEY’S GENERAL STORES was recently trending, indicating that breaking news and/or market activity has significantly impacted sentiment toward the stock. This movement can be interpretted as a sign of more near-term price movement for the underlying.

Trade approach: The recent sentiment change in CASY on StockTwits appears to be significantly negative, indicating that the stock is likely to follow in that direction for investors trading on sentiment. As a result, a bearish strategy could prove effective if the sentiment ultimately turns out to drive trading.

Upside potential: Using this bearish strategy, the trade would be profitable if CASEY’S GENERAL STORES closed at or below $187.20 on 18-Nov-2022. Based on our analysis, there is a 49.92% likelihood of this return.

Downside risk: As with any options trade, there is a substantial downside risk where you may lose most or all of your investment.

To analyze this trade in depth, please visit the Quantcha Options Search Engine.

StockTwits Trending Alert: Trading recent interest in CERBERUS CYBER SENTINEL CORPORATION COMMON STOCK $CISO

Quantchabot has detected a promising Long Risk Reversal trade opportunity for CERBERUS CYBER SENTINEL CORPORATION COMMON STOCK (CISO) for the 21-Oct-2022 expiration period. You can analyze the opportunity in depth over at the Quantcha Options Search Engine.

CISO was recently trading at $5.92 and has an implied volatility of 137.09% for this period. Based on an analysis of the options available for CISO expiring on 21-Oct-2022, there is a 34.39% likelihood that the underlying will close within the analyzed range of $5.92-$13.50 at expiration. In this scenario, the average linear return for the trade would be 146.12%.

Trending on StockTwits: StockTwits® is a financial communications platform for the financial and investing community. On their site, CERBERUS CYBER SENTINEL CORPORATION COMMON STOCK was recently trending, indicating that breaking news and/or market activity has significantly impacted sentiment toward the stock. This movement can be interpretted as a sign of more near-term price movement for the underlying.

Trade approach: The recent sentiment change in CISO on StockTwits appears to be moderately positive, indicating that the stock is likely to follow in that direction for investors trading on sentiment. As a result, a bullish strategy could prove effective if the sentiment ultimately turns out to drive trading.

Upside potential: Using this bullish strategy, the trade would be profitable if CERBERUS CYBER SENTINEL CORPORATION COMMON STOCK closed at or above $5.85 on 21-Oct-2022. Based on our analysis, there is a 50.78% likelihood of this return.

Downside risk: As with any options trade, there is a substantial downside risk where you may lose most or all of your investment.

To analyze this trade in depth, please visit the Quantcha Options Search Engine.

Synthetic Long Discount Alert: HOUSTON AMERICAN ENERGY $HUSA trading at a 10.07% discount for the 18-Nov-2022 expiration

Quantchabot has detected a promising Synthetic Long Stock trade opportunity for HOUSTON AMERICAN ENERGY (HUSA) for the 18-Nov-2022 expiration period. You can analyze the opportunity in depth over at the Quantcha Options Search Engine.

HUSA was recently trading at $6.28 and has an implied volatility of 155.36% for this period. Based on an analysis of the options available for HUSA expiring on 18-Nov-2022, there is a 68.29% likelihood that the underlying will close within the analyzed range of $2.27-$17.61 at expiration. In this scenario, the average linear return for the trade would be 52.12%.

Upside potential: This synthetic long position offers the same potential benefits and liabilities as a long stock position, but at a discount due to the significant premium at-the-money puts are trading at over calls. In this case, the long call position is opened at a strike of $6.00, which is already $0.28 in the money. An out-of-the-money put at the same strike is sold to finance the call, resulting in a net credit of $0.35 per share. The final position can be considered as having a discount of $0.63 per share over the underlying price of $6.28 for a 10.07% total.

Downside risk: This discount is generally a sign of the stock facing considerable short pressure, and may indicate that the stock has become hard to borrow. However, if you have a long view of the underlying over this period, it could be a good opportunity to benefit from the upside at a major discount.

To analyze this trade in depth, please visit the Quantcha Options Search Engine.

StockTwits Trending Alert: Trading recent interest in LUMINAR TECHNOLOGIES INC $LAZR

Quantchabot has detected a promising Covered Put trade opportunity for LUMINAR TECHNOLOGIES INC (LAZR) for the 20-Jan-2023 expiration period. You can analyze the opportunity in depth over at the Quantcha Options Search Engine.

LAZR was recently trading at $7.48 and has an implied volatility of 83.87% for this period. Based on an analysis of the options available for LAZR expiring on 20-Jan-2023, there is a 33.44% likelihood that the underlying will close within the analyzed range of $3.94-$7.49 at expiration. In this scenario, the average linear return for the trade would be 1255.56%.

Trending on StockTwits: StockTwits® is a financial communications platform for the financial and investing community. On their site, LUMINAR TECHNOLOGIES INC was recently trending, indicating that breaking news and/or market activity has significantly impacted sentiment toward the stock. This movement can be interpretted as a sign of more near-term price movement for the underlying.

Trade approach: The recent sentiment change in LAZR on StockTwits appears to be significantly negative, indicating that the stock is likely to follow in that direction for investors trading on sentiment. As a result, a bearish strategy could prove effective if the sentiment ultimately turns out to drive trading.

Upside potential: Using this bearish strategy, the trade would be profitable if LUMINAR TECHNOLOGIES INC closed at or below $11.13 on 20-Jan-2023. Based on our analysis, there is a 72.23% likelihood of this return.

Downside risk: As with any options trade, there is a substantial downside risk where you may lose most or all of your investment.

To analyze this trade in depth, please visit the Quantcha Options Search Engine.

Big Loser Alert: Trading today’s -8.8% move in AIRBNB INC. CLASS A COMMON STOCK $ABNB

Quantchabot has detected a promising Bear Call Spread trade opportunity for AIRBNB INC. CLASS A COMMON STOCK (ABNB) for the 29-Jul-2022 expiration period. You can analyze the opportunity in depth over at the Quantcha Options Search Engine.

ABNB was recently trading at $99.31 and has an implied volatility of 70.61% for this period. Based on an analysis of the options available for ABNB expiring on 29-Jul-2022, there is a 34.18% likelihood that the underlying will close within the analyzed range of $77.26-$99.45 at expiration. In this scenario, the average linear return for the trade would be 23.67%.

Big -8.81% Change: After closing the last trading session at $108.91, AIRBNB INC. CLASS A COMMON STOCK opened today at $102.85 and has reached a low of $98.88.

Trade approach: A movement as big as -8.81% is a significantly bearish indicator, so this trade is designed to be profitable if ABNB maintains its current direction and does not revert back to pricing on the bullish side of $99.31 on 29-Jul-2022. If possible, the trade has been padded such that slight movement against the trade would still return a profit.

Upside potential: Using this bearish strategy, the trade would be profitable if AIRBNB INC. CLASS A COMMON STOCK closes at or below $99.55 on 29-Jul-2022. Based on our risk-neutral analysis, there is a 50.16% likelihood of this return.

Downside risk: As with any options trade, there is a substantial downside risk where you may lose most or all of your investment.

To analyze this trade in depth, please visit the Quantcha Options Search Engine.

52-Week Low Alert: Trading today’s movement in AMERICAN EXPRESS $AXP

Quantchabot has detected a promising Bear Call Spread trade opportunity for AMERICAN EXPRESS (AXP) for the 15-Jul-2022 expiration period. You can analyze the opportunity in depth over at the Quantcha Options Search Engine.

AXP was recently trading at $147.39 and has an implied volatility of 43.44% for this period. Based on an analysis of the options available for AXP expiring on 15-Jul-2022, there is a 34.20% likelihood that the underlying will close within the analyzed range of $129.09-$147.02 at expiration. In this scenario, the average linear return for the trade would be 22.69%.

52 week low: AMERICAN EXPRESS recently reached a new 52-week low at $146.79. AXP had traded in the range $149.71-$199.55 over the past year.

Trade approach: Reaching a new 52-week low is a bearish indicator, so this trade is designed to be profitable if AXP maintains its current direction and does not revert back to pricing on the bullish side of $147.39 on 15-Jul-2022. If possible, the trade has been padded such that slight movement against the trade would still return a profit.

Upside potential: Using this bearish strategy, the trade would be profitable if AMERICAN EXPRESS closes at or below $147.18 on 15-Jul-2022. Based on our risk-neutral analysis, there is a 50.35% likelihood of this return.

Downside risk: As with any options trade, there is a substantial downside risk where you may lose most or all of your investment.

To analyze this trade in depth, please visit the Quantcha Options Search Engine.

52-Week Low Alert: Trading today’s movement in CHARLES SCHWAB $SCHW

Quantchabot has detected a promising Bear Call Spread trade opportunity for CHARLES SCHWAB (SCHW) for the 15-Jul-2022 expiration period. You can analyze the opportunity in depth over at the Quantcha Options Search Engine.

SCHW was recently trading at $59.85 and has an implied volatility of 46.02% for this period. Based on an analysis of the options available for SCHW expiring on 15-Jul-2022, there is a 34.20% likelihood that the underlying will close within the analyzed range of $52.20-$59.91 at expiration. In this scenario, the average linear return for the trade would be 48.95%.

52 week low: CHARLES SCHWAB recently reached a new 52-week low at $59.71. SCHW had traded in the range $61.53-$96.24 over the past year.

Trade approach: Reaching a new 52-week low is a bearish indicator, so this trade is designed to be profitable if SCHW maintains its current direction and does not revert back to pricing on the bullish side of $59.85 on 15-Jul-2022. If possible, the trade has been padded such that slight movement against the trade would still return a profit.

Upside potential: Using this bearish strategy, the trade would be profitable if CHARLES SCHWAB closes at or below $60.26 on 15-Jul-2022. Based on our risk-neutral analysis, there is a 51.70% likelihood of this return.

Downside risk: As with any options trade, there is a substantial downside risk where you may lose most or all of your investment.

To analyze this trade in depth, please visit the Quantcha Options Search Engine.

Big Loser Alert: Trading today’s -8.3% move in BOEING $BA

Quantchabot has detected a promising Bear Call Spread trade opportunity for BOEING (BA) for the 22-Jul-2022 expiration period. You can analyze the opportunity in depth over at the Quantcha Options Search Engine.

BA was recently trading at $116.40 and has an implied volatility of 58.73% for this period. Based on an analysis of the options available for BA expiring on 22-Jul-2022, there is a 34.19% likelihood that the underlying will close within the analyzed range of $96.02-$116.54 at expiration. In this scenario, the average linear return for the trade would be 20.30%.

Big -8.35% Change: After closing the last trading session at $127.00, BOEING opened today at $123.00 and has reached a low of $115.90.

Trade approach: A movement as big as -8.35% is a significantly bearish indicator, so this trade is designed to be profitable if BA maintains its current direction and does not revert back to pricing on the bullish side of $116.40 on 22-Jul-2022. If possible, the trade has been padded such that slight movement against the trade would still return a profit.

Upside potential: Using this bearish strategy, the trade would be profitable if BOEING closes at or below $116.61 on 22-Jul-2022. Based on our risk-neutral analysis, there is a 50.12% likelihood of this return.

Downside risk: As with any options trade, there is a substantial downside risk where you may lose most or all of your investment.

To analyze this trade in depth, please visit the Quantcha Options Search Engine.

Synthetic Long Discount Alert: FORGE GLOBAL HOLDINGS INC $FRGE trading at a 11.47% discount for the 18-Nov-2022 expiration

Quantchabot has detected a promising Synthetic Long Stock trade opportunity for FORGE GLOBAL HOLDINGS INC (FRGE) for the 18-Nov-2022 expiration period. You can analyze the opportunity in depth over at the Quantcha Options Search Engine.

FRGE was recently trading at $9.94 and has an implied volatility of 113.07% for this period. Based on an analysis of the options available for FRGE expiring on 18-Nov-2022, there is a 68.30% likelihood that the underlying will close within the analyzed range of $4.74-$21.08 at expiration. In this scenario, the average linear return for the trade would be 47.10%.

Upside potential: This synthetic long position offers the same potential benefits and liabilities as a long stock position, but at a discount due to the significant premium at-the-money puts are trading at over calls. In this case, the put position is opened at a strike of $10.00, which is already $0.06 in-the-money. However, its sale more than offsets this moneyness and the cost of the long call that the trade results in a net credit of of $1.20 per share. The final position can be considered as having a discount of $1.14 per share over the underlying price of $9.94 for a 11.47% total.

Downside risk: This discount is generally a sign of the stock facing considerable short pressure, and may indicate that the stock has become hard to borrow. However, if you have a long view of the underlying over this period, it could be a good opportunity to benefit from the upside at a major discount.

To analyze this trade in depth, please visit the Quantcha Options Search Engine.

52-Week Low Alert: Trading today’s movement in MEDTRONIC PLC $MDT

Quantchabot has detected a promising Bear Call Spread trade opportunity for MEDTRONIC PLC (MDT) for the 19-Aug-2022 expiration period. You can analyze the opportunity in depth over at the Quantcha Options Search Engine.

MDT was recently trading at $90.77 and has an implied volatility of 30.37% for this period. Based on an analysis of the options available for MDT expiring on 19-Aug-2022, there is a 34.17% likelihood that the underlying will close within the analyzed range of $79.21-$90.27 at expiration. In this scenario, the average linear return for the trade would be 27.41%.

52 week low: MEDTRONIC PLC recently reached a new 52-week low at $90.37. MDT had traded in the range $93.17-$135.89 over the past year.

Trade approach: Reaching a new 52-week low is a bearish indicator, so this trade is designed to be profitable if MDT maintains its current direction and does not revert back to pricing on the bullish side of $90.77 on 19-Aug-2022. If possible, the trade has been padded such that slight movement against the trade would still return a profit.

Upside potential: Using this bearish strategy, the trade would be profitable if MEDTRONIC PLC closes at or below $90.40 on 19-Aug-2022. Based on our risk-neutral analysis, there is a 50.42% likelihood of this return.

Downside risk: As with any options trade, there is a substantial downside risk where you may lose most or all of your investment.

To analyze this trade in depth, please visit the Quantcha Options Search Engine.