Big Gainer Alert: Trading today’s 9.8% move in ECOPETROL $EC

Quantchabot has detected a new Bull Call Spread trade opportunity for ECOPETROL (EC) for the 17-Jul-2026 expiration period. You can analyze the opportunity in depth over at the Quantcha Options Search Engine.

EC was recently trading at $16.04 and has an implied volatility of 59.54% for this period. Based on an analysis of the options available for EC expiring on 17-Jul-2026, there is a 34.18% likelihood that the underlying will close within the analyzed range of $16.12-$19.94 at expiration. In this scenario, the average linear return for the trade would be 20.00%.

Big 9.79% Change: After closing the last trading session at $14.61, ECOPETROL opened today at $15.90 and has reached a high of $16.45.

Trade approach: A movement as big as 9.79% is a significantly bullish indicator, so this trade is designed to be profitable if EC maintains its current direction and does not revert back to pricing on the bearish side of $16.04 on 17-Jul-2026. If possible, the trade has been padded such that slight movement against the trade would still return a profit.

Upside potential: Using this bullish strategy, the trade would be profitable if ECOPETROL closes at or above $15.50 on 17-Jul-2026. Based on our risk-neutral analysis, there is a 57.29% likelihood of this return.

Downside risk: As with any options trade, there is a substantial downside risk where you may lose most or all of your investment.

To analyze this trade in depth, please visit the Quantcha Options Search Engine.


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