Quantchabot has detected a new Bear Put Spread trade opportunity for BLACKSTONE MORTGAGE TRUST INC (BXMT) for the 16-Oct-2026 expiration period. You can analyze the opportunity in depth over at the Quantcha Options Search Engine.
BXMT was recently trading at $13.69 and has an implied volatility of 28.84% for this period. Based on an analysis of the options available for BXMT expiring on 16-Oct-2026, there is a 34.18% likelihood that the underlying will close within the analyzed range of $12.37-$13.76 at expiration. In this scenario, the average linear return for the trade would be 11.11%.
52 week low: BLACKSTONE MORTGAGE TRUST INC recently reached a new 52-week low at $13.68. BXMT had traded in the range $13.73-$20.66 over the past year.
Trade approach: Reaching a new 52-week low is a bearish indicator, so this trade is designed to be profitable if BXMT maintains its current direction and does not revert back to pricing on the bullish side of $13.69 on 16-Oct-2026. If possible, the trade has been padded such that slight movement against the trade would still return a profit.
Upside potential: Using this bearish strategy, the trade would be profitable if BLACKSTONE MORTGAGE TRUST INC closes at or below $14.10 on 16-Oct-2026. Based on our risk-neutral analysis, there is a 59.17% likelihood of this return.
Downside risk: As with any options trade, there is a substantial downside risk where you may lose most or all of your investment.
To analyze this trade in depth, please visit the Quantcha Options Search Engine.
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